====================================================================================== YasinEmrah: 2092 oyun · eşik n>=25 · * = 95% güvenle sıfırdan farklı ====================================================================================== motor verisi: 800 oyun ====================================================================================== 1. REPERTUVAR — İLK HAMLELER ====================================================================================== BEYAZ — kendi 1. hamlesi (1058 oyun) n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.Nf3 1039 552/420/ 67 56.4% 51.8% +47.3 * 1.e4 11 8/ 3/ 0 72.7% 89.7% -1.9 1.f4 5 4/ 1/ 0 80.0% 57.8% +1.1 SİYAH — rakibin 1. hamlesi (1034 oyun) n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.e4 karşısında 508 259/222/ 27 53.6% 54.2% -2.9 1.d4 karşısında 324 130/175/ 19 43.1% 51.0% -25.9 * 1.Nf3 karşısında 96 39/ 52/ 5 43.2% 46.1% -2.8 1.c4 karşısında 68 25/ 40/ 3 39.0% 51.4% -8.5 * 1.g3 karşısında 8 3/ 5/ 0 37.5% 47.9% -0.8 1.b3 karşısında 7 1/ 5/ 1 21.4% 52.6% -2.2 1.Nc3 karşısında 6 3/ 3/ 0 50.0% 45.6% +0.3 1.f4 karşısında 5 1/ 4/ 0 20.0% 68.1% -2.4 SİYAH — 1.e4 karşısında verdiği cevap n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.e4 c5 253 138/ 99/ 16 57.7% 58.5% -2.0 1.e4 e6 183 90/ 84/ 9 51.6% 49.2% +4.4 1.e4 d6 54 17/ 35/ 2 33.3% 47.9% -7.9 * SİYAH — 1.d4 karşısında verdiği cevap n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.d4 d5 188 72/101/ 15 42.3% 48.6% -11.8 1.d4 Nf6 86 41/ 42/ 3 49.4% 59.4% -8.6 * 1.d4 e6 46 15/ 30/ 1 33.7% 45.8% -5.6 SİYAH — 1.c4 karşısında verdiği cevap n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.c4 c5 65 24/ 38/ 3 39.2% 51.1% -7.7 * SİYAH — 1.Nf3 karşısında verdiği cevap n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.Nf3 c5 91 37/ 50/ 4 42.9% 45.7% -2.6 BEYAZ — 1.Nf3 sonrası 2. hamlesi n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.Nf3 Nf6 2.c4 395 184/177/ 34 50.9% 50.8% +0.4 1.Nf3 d5 2.c4 321 185/117/ 19 60.6% 51.8% +28.1 * 1.Nf3 c5 2.c4 122 70/ 46/ 6 59.8% 51.9% +9.7 1.Nf3 g6 2.c4 47 24/ 18/ 5 56.4% 50.2% +2.9 1.Nf3 f5 2.c4 29 17/ 11/ 1 60.3% 52.3% +2.3 1.Nf3 d6 2.d4 24 18/ 6/ 0 75.0% 53.8% +5.1 * 1.Nf3 e6 2.c4 23 12/ 10/ 1 54.3% 49.2% +1.2 ====================================================================================== 2. AÇILIŞ ADLARI ====================================================================================== BEYAZ — en çok oynadıkları (aile) n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark English Opening 675 349/280/ 46 55.1% 51.1% +26.9 * Réti Opening 198 107/ 77/ 14 57.6% 51.9% +11.2 Zukertort Opening 131 72/ 53/ 6 57.3% 54.6% +3.5 BEYAZ — Elo beklentisine göre en iyi / en kötü n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark Réti Opening 198 107/ 77/ 14 57.6% 51.9% +11.2 English Opening 675 349/280/ 46 55.1% 51.1% +26.9 * Zukertort Opening 131 72/ 53/ 6 57.3% 54.6% +3.5 SİYAH — en çok oynadıkları (aile) n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark Sicilian Defense 269 147/105/ 17 57.8% 58.0% -0.6 French Defense 186 88/ 89/ 9 49.7% 48.9% +1.6 Queen's Gambit Declined 116 41/ 69/ 6 37.9% 48.1% -11.8 * English Opening 103 36/ 63/ 4 36.9% 50.3% -13.8 * Queen's Pawn Game 66 30/ 29/ 7 50.8% 49.4% +0.9 Zukertort Opening 52 24/ 26/ 2 48.1% 44.4% +1.9 Pirc Defense 38 10/ 26/ 2 28.9% 46.3% -6.6 * Indian Defense 34 18/ 13/ 3 57.4% 63.9% -2.2 SİYAH — Elo beklentisine göre en iyi / en kötü n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark Zukertort Opening 52 24/ 26/ 2 48.1% 44.4% +1.9 Queen's Pawn Game 66 30/ 29/ 7 50.8% 49.4% +0.9 French Defense 186 88/ 89/ 9 49.7% 48.9% +1.6 Sicilian Defense 269 147/105/ 17 57.8% 58.0% -0.6 Indian Defense 34 18/ 13/ 3 57.4% 63.9% -2.2 Queen's Gambit Declined 116 41/ 69/ 6 37.9% 48.1% -11.8 * English Opening 103 36/ 63/ 4 36.9% 50.3% -13.8 * Pirc Defense 38 10/ 26/ 2 28.9% 46.3% -6.6 * BEYAZ — tam varyant adı (n>=30) n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark English Opening: Agincourt Defense 38 25/ 11/ 2 68.4% 47.8% +7.8 * Zukertort Opening: Kingside Fianch 43 24/ 15/ 4 60.5% 51.4% +3.9 English Opening: Neo-Catalan Decli 108 58/ 42/ 8 57.4% 48.8% +9.3 * English Opening: Symmetrical Varia 120 68/ 46/ 6 59.2% 51.9% +8.7 Réti Opening: Advance Variation 75 38/ 31/ 6 54.7% 48.2% +4.8 English Opening: Agincourt Defense 33 21/ 11/ 1 65.2% 60.2% +1.6 Réti Opening: Anglo-Slav Variation 81 44/ 33/ 4 56.8% 53.0% +3.1 English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defe 60 30/ 24/ 6 55.0% 55.7% -0.4 English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defe 160 69/ 75/ 16 48.1% 50.1% -3.1 English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defe 38 17/ 19/ 2 47.4% 52.5% -2.0 SİYAH — tam varyant adı (n>=30) n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian 32 23/ 9/ 0 71.9% 58.9% +4.2 French Defense: Advance Variation 37 22/ 14/ 1 60.8% 48.6% +4.5 Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Ro 36 19/ 14/ 3 56.9% 52.8% +1.5 Zukertort Opening: Sicilian Invita 50 23/ 25/ 2 48.0% 44.5% +1.8 French Defense: Winawer Variation, 41 18/ 22/ 1 45.1% 46.2% -0.4 Sicilian Defense: Accelerated Drag 57 28/ 25/ 4 52.6% 55.1% -1.4 Queen's Gambit Declined 53 20/ 30/ 3 40.6% 48.9% -4.4 English Opening: Symmetrical Varia 55 20/ 34/ 1 37.3% 49.3% -6.6 * English Opening: Symmetrical Varia 34 12/ 20/ 2 38.2% 51.4% -4.5 Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's K 58 18/ 37/ 3 33.6% 47.6% -8.1 * ====================================================================================== 3. 1.d4 KARŞISINDA — DETAY ====================================================================================== toplam 324 oyun · 43.1% (beklenti 51.0%) · -25.9 puan · ort. rakip 2336 varyant adına göre n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark Queen's Gambit Declined: Queen's K 57 18/ 36/ 3 34.2% 48.0% -7.9 * Queen's Gambit Declined 53 20/ 30/ 3 40.6% 48.9% -4.4 Queen's Pawn Game: Zukertort Varia 27 11/ 14/ 2 44.4% 52.8% -2.3 English Defense 21 8/ 13/ 0 38.1% 47.2% -1.9 Horwitz Defense 19 6/ 12/ 1 34.2% 46.6% -2.4 Queen's Pawn Game: Accelerated Lon 12 6/ 6/ 0 50.0% 48.0% +0.2 Queen's Pawn Game: London System, 10 4/ 3/ 3 55.0% 43.6% +1.1 ilk 3 hamle dizisi n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark 1.d4 d5 2.c4 e6 3.Nc3 f5 57 18/ 36/ 3 34.2% 48.0% -7.9 * 1.d4 d5 2.c4 e6 3.Nf3 f5 43 19/ 23/ 1 45.3% 48.8% -1.5 1.d4 Nf6 2.c4 e6 3.Nc3 Bb4 22 10/ 12/ 0 45.5% 52.7% -1.6 1.d4 d5 2.Nf3 e6 3.c4 f5 13 4/ 8/ 1 34.6% 50.0% -2.0 1.d4 d5 2.Bf4 e6 3.e3 f5 12 6/ 6/ 0 50.0% 48.0% +0.2 ====================================================================================== 4. AÇILIŞ BAŞINA MOTOR MALİYETİ (taranan oyunlar) ====================================================================================== açılış n ACPL ilk15 skor --- BEYAZ (açılış maliyeti yüksekten düşüğe) --- Réti Opening 76 36.5 20.5 51.3% Zukertort Opening 44 39.0 19.5 51.1% English Opening 271 34.5 16.0 53.0% --- SİYAH (açılış maliyeti yüksekten düşüğe) --- Horwitz Defense 18 36.8 26.2 36.1% Pirc Defense 16 44.5 25.5 18.8% Sicilian Defense 42 38.4 23.7 47.6% English Defense 20 36.6 22.5 40.0% Queen's Pawn Game 30 36.8 20.8 48.3% French Defense 123 36.8 20.1 51.2% Zukertort Opening 18 41.2 19.8 41.7% English Opening 44 31.4 17.0 37.5% Queen's Gambit Declined 42 35.4 16.6 27.4% ====================================================================================== 5. AÇILIŞ BAŞINA OYUN UZUNLUĞU / BİTİŞ ŞEKLİ ====================================================================================== açılış n hamle süre% mat/tesl% B Indian Defense 34 36 21% 79% B French Defense 186 36 32% 68% B Queen's Gambit Declined 116 37 32% 68% B Sicilian Defense 269 38 28% 72% W Zukertort Opening 131 38 29% 70% B English Opening 103 40 27% 73% W Réti Opening 198 40 26% 74% W English Opening 675 40 28% 72% B Pirc Defense 38 42 37% 63% B Zukertort Opening 52 43 21% 79% B Queen's Pawn Game 66 44 33% 67% ====================================================================================== 6. SON 12 AY (657 oyun, 2025-08-09 sonrası) ====================================================================================== BEYAZ — son dönem n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark English Opening 219 108/100/ 11 51.8% 48.8% +6.5 Réti Opening 68 34/ 28/ 6 54.4% 48.4% +4.1 Zukertort Opening 34 16/ 15/ 3 51.5% 48.5% +1.0 SİYAH — son dönem n W/ L/ D gerçek bekl. fark French Defense 109 56/ 47/ 6 54.1% 48.2% +6.5 English Opening 37 13/ 22/ 2 37.8% 48.3% -3.9 Sicilian Defense 37 17/ 16/ 4 51.4% 46.4% +1.8 Queen's Gambit Declined 33 7/ 25/ 1 22.7% 47.0% -8.0 * English Defense 20 8/ 12/ 0 40.0% 48.2% -1.6 Horwitz Defense 18 6/ 11/ 1 36.1% 47.2% -2.0 Queen's Pawn Game 16 8/ 7/ 1 53.1% 48.2% +0.8 Zukertort Opening 13 4/ 8/ 1 34.6% 47.4% -1.7 ====================================================================================== 7. AÇILIŞTA HARCANAN SÜRE (10. hamlede kalan) ====================================================================================== açılış n 10.hamle skor B Indian Defense 34 148s 57.4% B Pirc Defense 38 150s 28.9% B French Defense 185 152s 50.0% B Zukertort Opening 52 162s 48.1% B Queen's Gambit Declined 116 163s 37.9% B Queen's Pawn Game 65 163s 51.5% B Sicilian Defense 268 163s 57.6% B English Opening 102 165s 36.3% W Réti Opening 197 166s 57.4% W Zukertort Opening 130 168s 56.9% W English Opening 674 177s 55.0%